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The Timing Accumulator
Click the image to watch it in near real time during market hours
The image you see above is intuitive if you're already familiar with most technical indicators. What makes this one different however is that it is not price based. The line you see is not a moving average of price. The Timing Accumulator analyzes non price based variables that are correlated to future price movements. While not infallible (it's a market after all) the Timing Accumulator can typically identify two or three intra-day range trades. It's really like nothing else out there.
Watch it for a couple of weeks and then judge for yourself. And of course, always trade in the direction of the Primary Delineator.
Here's an example of an 'ideal' Timing Accumulator trade and the type of trade I personally find attractive. The chart shows X (US Steel) on Feb 5, 2010. It is a classic example of the conditions I wait for to see in this Accumulator and how I structure my trades.
X opens at A, 42.12. The Timing is moving down, we watch. X reverses at B, 44.42; the Timing continues lower. X reverses again at C, 43.22. While the fast crosses over the slow, there is no slope change on the slow hence no signal, we watch. At C, two upside targets are identified as A and B.
Price continues higher, the Timing lower and X reverses at the first target now identified as C1. Price continues lower, taking out the recent low at C. At D we get a crossover on the fast and a slope change on the slow. This is a long signal at 42.87. In the ideal long signal, price begins to decline just as the Timing rises. So, a test of the most recent low (in the 1m bar timeframe) would be our ideal entry point. Price then within a few minutes declines back to 42.60 at E. Our upside target then would be the most recent level or C-43.62. After the purchase was made a gtc limit sell would be placed at 43.22 and we'd wait for an execution.
We do not enter long at a long signal then wait for the Timing to give a short signal to take our profit. As in ALL trading, targets must be specified PRIOR to the origination of the trade. This process I have described should be repeated each time. The range to the next target is the most important thing to identify! The larger the range the greater the potential. In the example above, the range was about 1% which is slim but quite workable. The bigger the range, the better the trade potential obviously.
So, looking back at the chart again and considering the points after F, we can continue this process. Tight ranges should be avoided regardless of what the Timing is doing. And, always work with the most recent ranges until one gets taken out, then adjust to the new ranges.
...and btw, here's what X did after the last buy indication shown below on Feb 5th at 2:06pm est. at X 43: see below:
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e quantus exactus
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The Delineator and Accumulator programs and all material shown on this website is published by HCMI and may not be reproduced, disseminated, or distributed, in part or in whole, by any means, outside of the recipient's organization without express written authorization from HCMI. It is a violation of federal copyright law to reproduce all or part of this publication or its contents by any means. This material does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities or investments. The opinions expressed herein are based on publicly available information and are considered reliable. However, HCMI makes NO WARRANTIES OR REPRESENTATIONS OF ANY SORT with respect to this report. Any person using this material does so solely at their own risk and HCMI and/or its employees shall be under no liability whatsoever in any respect thereof. |
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